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Predicted the level of
support in Iraq for continuation of Saddam
Hussein's leadership. DII’s analysis was
also able to accurately predict the
defection within the Iraqi ruling coalition
two months prior.
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Predicted the
prospects for the success of the coup
transpiring in the Soviet Union. DII advised
the US Government that the coup would not
only fail, but fail swiftly.
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Predicted the outcome
of the dissolution of Parliament by Yeltsin.
At the time of this prediction, the print
media were stating that Parliament was
insolvent.
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Forecast the stability
of the Yeltsin government. DII repeatedly
reported on the continuing stability of the
Yeltsin government, contrary to what was
being reported in the media.
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Predicted that if
Syria were to join the Israel/PLO Madrid
Peace Conference, it would do so as a
disruptive member. This correct prediction
was not considered a viable scenario by the
intelligence community. In its view, either
Syria would not attend the Conference
(showing Syria’s contempt) or Syria would
attend and contribute its share towards a
settlement.
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Predicted that the
opposing forces in the Yugoslavia crisis
would acquiesce to military pressure (air
assaults) from the United States.
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Predicted the
succession of power within Saudi Arabia
months in advance. DII analysis indicated
that Prince Abdullah would succeed King Fahd
and that the succession would be orderly and
swift.
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Predicted the outcome
of the issue of new settlements in the
occupied territories in the Mid-East peace
proposals. DII also assisted in the
formulation of US government strategies in
the Mid-East peace process.
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Predicted the easing
of tensions towards Korean unification,
particularly in relation to the presence of
US troops and anti-American sentiments and
identified the coalitions that would form to
support and oppose these interests.
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Forecast the best way
to approach privatization of the Polish
steel industry including whether the various
government companies should be sold
separately, whether they should be
restructured prior to sale, and whether just
the assets should be sold as opposed to the
companies as a whole.
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Analyzed how the
deregulation of the Italian electric sector
could be implemented. Issues included tariff
reduction, market structure, capacity
divestiture, stranded costs, and
municipality divestiture. DII’s analysis
suggested that agreement could be reached on
most issues, and that strategic alternatives
were available to achieve a better outcome
for our Client on all the issues.
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DII forecast the
outcome on five issues related to the
implementation of the Good Friday Agreement
in Northern Ireland.